HUMAN × MACHINE · INSTRUMENTIS ET AUXILIIS

人 機 開 物What hand and instrument can make.

Neither the naked hand nor the understanding left to itself can effect much: it is by instruments and helps that the work is done.— Bacon, Novum Organum, 1620
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Experiments
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Under judgment
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Killed

FOURFour threadsTHREADS

One method, four arenas. Each has its own section — from the shallowest mechanics to runnable code.

01

Prediction markets

Live capital on Polymarket, plus ecosystem censuses and the kill file. Market making, arbitrage, sports, crypto up/down — most of it I killed, and the numbers and causes of death are public.

LIVE
02

Trading with AI

Making the model actually place orders, not write research notes. Workflows, prompts, guardrails, and exactly where it will lie to you — including my own agent fleet that I killed.

IN PREP
03

DEX arbitrage

Hyperliquid and other on-chain venues: funding, basis, cross-venue spreads. A live basis dashboard is the first output on this thread.

IN PREP
04

AI toolchain

This one is about the tools themselves: using Codex and Claude Code, staying up through a banned account with a relay, and moving an agent from your laptop to the cloud. So you build your own.

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